8th Conference in Actuarial Science & Finance on Samos
May 29 - June 1, 2014

Conference Program

       
       

Conference venue: Hall "Sofoulis" at University building "Provatari" near the port of Karlovassi

 

Wednesday 28th of May 2014

 

 

 

 

Time

Subject

18:30 - 19:30

Registration

19:30 - 23:00

Welcome Party

 

Thursday 29th of Μay 2014

Session 1: Risk Management(Chair, Jef Teugels).

 

 

 

 

Time

Subject

09:00 - 09:40

Invited Lecture :Veronique MaumeDeschamps

Global sensitivity analysis and quantification of uncertainty

09:40 - 10:00

Mittnik S.

Tail-risk Aggregation

10:00 - 10:20

Bernard C., Vanduffel S.

A New Approach to Assessing Model Risk in High Dimensions

10:20 – 10:40

Yang Y., Konstantinides D. G.

Asymptotics for Ruin Probabilities in a Discrete-Time Risk Model with Dependent Financial and Insurance Risks

10:40 - 11:30

Break

 

 

 

11:30 - 11:50

Tang Q. H.

The Sum-Product Structure as a Mechanism for Risk Management

11:50 - 12:10

Christiansen M., Brandt Henriksen L. F., Schomacker K.,

Steffensen M.

Stress Scenario Generation for Solvency and Risk Management

12:10 – 12:30

Bernard C., Rueschendorf L., Vanduffel S.

Value-at-Risk Bounds with Variance Constraints

12:30 – 12:50

Jevtic P., Regis L.

Assessing the Solvency Risk of Insurance Portfolios via a

Continuous Time Cohort Model

 

 

 

Thursday 29th of May 2014

Session 2: Stochastic Models in Non-Life Insurance(Chair, Esther Frostig).

 

 

 

 

Time

Subject

15:30 – 16:10

Invited Lecture :Jun Cai

Optimal Reinsurance with Regulatory Initial Capital and Default Risk

16:10 – 16:30

Parsa R., Vaughan A., Yang F.

CTE Based Risk Measures and Copula Regression Using

Multivariate t-Copula

16:30 – 16:50

Vatamidou E., Adan I. J. B. F., Vlassiou M., Zwart B.

Corrected Phase-type Approximations of Heavy-Tailed Risk Models Using Perturbation Analysis

16:50 – 17:10

Liu J., Chen Y.

Ruin with Insurance and Financial Risks Following a Special

Dependence Structure

17:10 – 18:00

Break

 

 

 

18:00 – 18:20

Gatzert N., Pokutta S., Vogl N.

Convergence of Capital and Insurance Markets: Consistent Pricing of Index–Linked Catastrophic Loss Instruments

18:20 – 18:40

Mahmoudvand R., Aziznasiri S.

A New Modification on Bonus-Malus System in Automobile

Insurance

18:40 – 19:00

Landriault D., Li B.

A General Analytical Approach for Drawdown (Drawup) Risks of

Time Homogeneous Markov Models.

19:10 – 20:00

Meeting of the Organizing Committee

 

 

 

 

 

 

Friday 30th of May 2014

Session 3: Life, Health, and Pension Insurance(Chair, Mogens Steffensen).

 

 

 

 

Time

Subject

09:00 - 09:40

Invited Lecture :Nandine Gatzert

Dynamic Hybrid Products in Life Insurance: Assessing the Policyholders’ Viewpoint

09:40 - 10:00

Alonso Garcia J., Boado-Penas M. C., Devolder P.

Risk and Solvency of Notional Defined Contribution Pension Systems

10:00 - 10:20

Buchardt K., Moeller T., Schmidt K. B.

Cash Flows and Policyholder Behaviour in the Semi-Markov Life Insurance Setup

10:20 – 10:40

Hilpert C.

The Effect of Risk Preferences on Equity-Linked Life Insurance with Surrender Guarantees

10:40 - 11:30

Break

 

 

 

11:30 - 11:50

Jensen N. R., Steffensen M.

Personal Finance and Life Insurance under Separation of Risk Aversion and Elasticity of Substitution

11:50 - 12:10

Barucci E., Biffis E., Marazzina D.

Health Insurance and Retirement Incentives

12:10 - 12:30

Millossovich P., Danesi I. L., Haberman S.

Forecasting Mortality in Related Populations Using Lee-Carter Type Models: A Comparison

12:40 – 20:30

Excursion to Samos Island





 

Saturday 31st of May 2014

Session 4: Risk and Stochastic Control (Chair,Claude Lefevre).

 

 

 

 

Time

Subject

09:00 - 09:40

Invited Lecture:Ken Seng Tan

Modeling Trades in the Life Market as Nash Bargaining Problems: Methodology and Insights

09:40 - 10:00

Bernard C., Moraux F., Rueschendorf L., Vanduffel S.

Optimal Claims Under State Dependent Constraints

10:00 - 10:20

Goldberg L. R., Mahmoud O.

On a Measure of Drawdown Risk

10:20 – 10:40

Boonen T.

Nash Equilibria in Over-The-Counter Bargaining for Risk Redistributions; the Role of a Regulator

10:40 - 11:30

Break

 

 

 

11:30 - 11:50

Bayraktar E., Kyprianou A. E., Yamazaki K.

Optimal Dividends in the Dual Model under Fixed Transaction Costs

11:50 - 12:10

Nordfang M. B.

Optimality in Mortgage Design

12:10 - 12:30

Cheng C., Li J.

Early Default Risk and Surrender Risk: Impacts on Participating Life Insurance Policies

12:40 – 13:30

Open Meeting of the Scientific Committee





Saturday 31st of May 2014

Session 5: Statistical and Computational Methods(Chair, Qihe Tang).

 

 

 

 

Time

Subject

15:30 – 16:10

Invited Lecture : Liang Peng

Tail dependence and extreme quantile estimation

16:10 – 16:30

Asimit A., Chen Y.

Asymptotic Results for Conditional Measures of Association in the Classical Risk Model

16:30 – 16:50

Asmussen S., Jensen J. L., Rojas-Nandayapa L.

Exponential Family Techniques for the Lognormal Left Tail, with Applications to Portfolio VaR Calculations

16:50 – 17:10

Landsman Z., Makov U., Shushi T.

Tail Risk Measures for Generalized Skew – Elliptical Distributions

17:10 – 17:40

Break

 

 

17:40 – 18:00

Tang Q., Yang F.

Extreme Value Analysis of the Haezendonck-Goovaerts Risk Measure with a General Young Function

18:00 – 18:20

Tan K. S., Wang C. W., Zhu W. J.

Levy Subordinated Hierarchical Archimedean Copulas: Theory and Application

 

18:20 – 18:40

Pesta M., Okhrin O.

Conditional Least Squares and Copulae in Clains Reserving for a Single Line of Business

19:30 – 23:00

Gala dinner (Price: 13 € + extras )

 

 

 

Sunday 1st of June 2014

Session 6: Financial Theory and Practice(Chair, Steven Kou).

 

 

 

 

Time

Subject

09:30 - 10:10

Invited Lecture :Dilip Madan

Calibration of SPX and VIX option surfaces: With applications to pricing and hedging equity and volatility linked hybrid notes

10:10 - 10:30

Swishchuk A., Tertychnyi M., Elliott R.

Pricing Currency Derivatives with Markov-modulated Levy Dynamics

10:30 - 10:50

Fusai G., Kyriakou I.

General Optimal Lower and Upper Bounds for Discrete and

Continuous Arithmetic Asian Options

10:50 – 11:10

Limnios N., Swishchuk A.

Discrete-time Semi-Markov Random Evolutions: Theory and Applications in Finance

11:10 - 11:40

Break

 

 

 

11:40 - 12:00

Benth F. E., Schmeck M. D.

Pricing and Hedging Options in Energy Markets by Black-76

12:00 - 12:20

deSouza L. G., Veiga A.

A Linear Stochastic Model to Estimate the Amount of IBNR Claims

Using Micro-data

12:20 - 12:40

Mikus G.

The Impact of Stochastic Volatility and Policyholder Behaviour on

Guaranteed Lifetime Withdrawal Benefits

12:40 -13:00

Closing Ceremony

13:00 – 13:40

Kalashnikov Lecture :Michel Broniatowski

Extremes and Sums